
Possible Projects. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . for a Possible Future 8 November 2011 Tomorrow, I look forward to hearing Dr John Ogdon, Professor of Forest Ecology at the University of Auckland, on "Beech forest dynamics in a changing climate" and his evaluation of "a new species mixture dictated by a new disturbance regime" as a contribution to the International Year of Forests, 2011. I've been thinking about topics such as these for a long time - and I've done what I can to help design an appropriate data collection system to tackle global ecosystem changes. That's because I've assumed that massive amounts of species-rich environmental data will be wanted once sustainability is seen to be a matter of global ecology. Such data recording will only be accepted as critically important when the logistics for tackling it are known to be feasible. Fully implemented and supported by smart technology, my existing but unpromoted Biolists System, (previously known as the Six Kingdom Information System, SKIS), could support the necessary data acquisition for the following tasks.
The Dream: For this task, I assumed that initial monitoring would ideally be at the finest possible geographic and taxonomic scales - all possible species in all possible tiny locations would be recorded time and again. Similarly, I imagined that the full taxonomic spectrum would need to be catered for uniformly. So I investigated taxonomic and ecological data capture for this situation. But my interest in this apparently big-science scenario is in the details of how best to assist the human interface, that is, the micro-management of grass-roots data capture. So I set out to help anyone, anywere record the perfect sample. The dream is to have records that add up (eventually) to an understanding of community and ecosystem structure in stable or slowly-evolving biodiversity regimes (many 20th century communities would have been ideal for base-line records). Then, far into the future, ecologists willl be able to assess the ecological fitness of ecosystems against these records with the aim of returning depleted ecosystems to full vigour. I focus on the way almost all of Africa was when my grandfather saw it in 1900.
The Reality: All of the necessary technology must be simple and easy to use, as with smartphones. Similarly, the software for dealing with the biological classification and the full range of taxonomic names would need to be simple and easy. That's the challange for amassing pragmatic, ecological database records. The answer I found is to record: checklists - of species that are living in close proximity - and where and when for each list. That's all. Analyses of the data can wait for decades, centuries or millennia - whatever is found appropriate. But such records contain a surprisingly wide range of ecologically relevant information. Taxonomy: A species name, which is part of a unique international vocabulary, implies its classification, that is, a definition of its relationships to all other known species. Similarly, the scientific record, as indexed by the various taxonomic names associated with any species is replete with scientific information. Taxonomy also covers Common names which are an aid to memory that assists with field identifications in paraticular, and makes possible local and net-wide communications of species-related information. Location: GPS points lead easily to information on elevation, aspect, soil type, climate, etc; and date and time includes season, day length and solar elevation. And, from its checklist and related database entries, the system gives the names and information about associated species. Now, that's just about all. Today's taxonomic database systems (Encyclopedia of Life, etc) are not suitable for species-level ecology - their basic design makes them fundamentally useless for translating taxonomy into ecology: of course, being computerised, they can be made to do "everything" - mysteriously, but they are complex introverted systems, whereas the need is for a simple, transparent, expansive system. Similarly, conservation scientists need to stop being problem-orientated narrow specialists and become answer-orientated. We need wide-eyed natural history to return as the paramount scientific disciplin for this century. But natural history needs broad scientific and community support. Science and society have lost taxonomic and ecological competence and awareness over the past few decades. Recently, some of the sobering problems that allowed Taxonomy to become downtrodden throughout the academic world have been explained by Professor Ferdinando Boero ("The Study of Species in the Era of Biodiversity: A Tale of Stupidity", 2010, diversity-02-00115.pdf). He details how biotechnology With loss of taxonomic capability comes compromised communication of biodiversity information, thus ecology must have suffered. The most serious implication is that ecosystem-wide ecology has a taxonomic limitation as we face pervasive species extinctions due to habitat losses and climate change. Climate change must be modifying ecosystem compositions and functions, including services, usually negatively.
Molecular taxonomy is an essential aspect of taxonomy, but it does not solve all problems. We need
7. Services to Taxonomy: Information Is Not Knowledge
The barcode concept is very helpful for identification and is leading to the discovery of many Students know not to bother with taxonomy, except possibly here in Dunedin which is New Zealand's biodiversity hotspot for ecotourists and for ecological studies. In these ways, New Zealand is favoured by an intense recent history of (with a hopeful glimmer left in Otago, but otherwise especially so in New Zealand's Natural History Museums), Along with routine objective monitoring, it will be desirable to manage invasive and other destructive species wherever they are found, such as alien vines that top forest giants and kill them by excluding light. Species woulld be eliminated if found to be damaging the local ecology; that is, monitoring would lead to appropriate management. If alien, where found, species would be assessed on their ecological fitness as found. Care would be taken to preserve species in stable relationships with any particular community lest they go extinct elsewhere. In such ways, all biodiversity has to be managed from now until ecological stability returns - many millennia hence. Otherwise the sixth mass extinction event will not be turned around by science, and only science can offer hope of this being done in the life-time of Homo sapiens. In the meantime, ecological management in most places will depend on an increase in local interest in biodiversity, and crucial to this will be the use of taxonomy using both Latin names in laptop computers and smartphones as well as Common names in shoulder-top computers. The interested public, more so than ever, will need much help to become useful in doing scientific conservation. As a lead-in, they will need to acquire identification skills, allied to an interest in local natural history. Fot this to happen, keys to local segments of local biodiversity will need to be made available by local natural history enthuasiasts, probably with museum and university help. Such work should be given priority right now. To this end, I can recommend a set of keys I prepared for use in schools in Ireland; these were expanded into a book (Woods, C S 1974a)(see References) which I will soon describe in some detail in a following article. With lots of well-managed biodiversity data, many options would become obvious for helping some biological communities stay functional even now - for example, by assisting species and communities to migrate in parallel with climate changes. This might be either by conservationalists making physical translocations or by devising and maintaining suitable biodiversity corridors. Following some high-profile examples, the theory needs to develop assisted by advances in large-scale data capture and slick data management. Up to now our civilisation has depended on self-regulated biodiversity; from now on all ecosystems will need to be rigourously managed to serve the needs of all biodiversity. Should I add, and us?
A Possible Future: The above process offers to speed up the recovery of ecosystems in ways that would otherwise need to rely on evolution of new species and chance wanderings. Taken seriously, this process would give as much attention to humble plants, fungi, soil organisms and all other creatures as conservation authorities are able to give to today's most high-profile species - the application of the Tiger-in-your-garden idea. Parataxonomists will deal easily with such local biodiversity, however, their main role could be to translate conservation science into what the general public need to know so as to be fully cooperative. Active help will be needed from a lot of people - 0.1% would be good, with a tenth of these relaying species information to science centers. [Notes to be included below.]
The Present: The taxonomic part of any biodiversity monitoring system will need to be suitable for parataxonomists of all ages. To this end, and knowing of no other such system, I am upgrading my fully-functional version of BioLists that now resides on my DOS-based laptop. At long last, the economic woes that worry some people leave me hopeful of attracting the necessary support to put BioLists online.
Cedric Woods Comments welcome: to drcedric@gmail.com |